2008年12月26日

Time for United States to take action on India.

Pakistan has sent troops away from Afghan border region, New York Times reported. Big deal? Yes it is. According to sources from Stratfor.com, more than 100,000 troops is currently stationed near the Afghan border to help the U.S. combat the Taliban militant base camps in Pakistan, effectively cutting off their lines of supply. Hence, the withdrawal of troops, no matter how small the number is going to be, pose a direct threat against the US army.

Furthermore, U.S. Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said on 20 December 2008 that between 20,000 and 30,000 additional U.S. troops could be sent to Afghanistan to bolster the 31,000 already there. Apparently, the Pentagon would like to copy the Iraq surge model into Afganistan and stabilize the country where NATO troops were also involved. Without the help of the Pakistan's military forces, the Afghanistan surge would fail. The Americans know that and so do the Pakistanis.

The annoucement of a redeployment of troops away from the Afghan border today may therefore be a strong signal from Pakistan to the United States to immediately intervene on their behalf to prevent an Indian attacks. Whether United States can successfully calm India down is still uncertain. But war between the two nuclear rivalry looms large as sources from Stratfor also reported that the Indian troops have deployed to the Barmer district of southwest Rajasthan state along the Indian-Pakistani border. (See Map provided by Stratfor.com below) The state government of Rajasthan has ordered residents of its border villages to be prepared for relocation.



So now, the Indians are building up army near the Indian-Pakistani border to pressure the Pakistan government to deal with the Islamic element inside the Inter-Services Intelligent (ISI). And the Pakistan is moving troops away from the Afghan border to pressure the Americans to control the India's behavior. Now, we need to see the Americans' strategy on India. But time is not on US side as Indians are getting impatient.....

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